How to compare heating costs fairly
Comparing raw fuel prices is meaningless because each unit carries a different amount of energy and each appliance wastes a different share of it. The fair measure is the cost of a million BTU of heat that actually reaches the room — cost per useful MMBtu — which folds price, energy content and efficiency into one number you can rank.
cost per useful MMBtu = price per unit ÷ (BTU per unit × efficiency) × 1,000,000 annual cost = heat demand (MMBtu) × cost per useful MMBtu
Efficiency is the AFUE for a furnace or boiler, the appliance efficiency for a stove, and the COP for a heat pump. A heat pump’s COP is greater than one — it moves several units of heat per unit of electricity rather than making heat — which is why electricity through a heat pump can beat electricity through a baseboard several times over at the same price per kWh.
Is propane heat cheaper than electric?
This is the most-asked pairing, and the honest answer is “it depends, here is the math.” Against electric resistance heat, propane often wins, because resistance heat costs the electricity price divided by 3,412 BTU per kWh with no efficiency multiplier to help it. Against an air-source heat pump it is usually the other way around: the heat pump’s COP divides the effective electricity price by two to four, so the cost of propane heat per useful MMBtu typically sits above the heat pump. Put your real propane-per-gallon and electric-per-kWh figures in and the ranking settles it for your prices, not a generic claim.
Is propane cheaper than natural gas?
Where natural gas is available it almost always costs less per unit of heat. A therm of gas is 100,000 BTU and is priced low; propane holds about 91,500 BTU per gallon but usually costs enough per gallon that its cost per useful MMBtu lands above gas. The break-even tool shows the precise propane price at which the two tie for your gas price — useful when a propane supplier quotes a seasonal rate.
Heat pump vs gas furnace running cost
The heat-pump-vs-furnace mode pits a heat pump’s seasonal COP (or its HSPF, divided by 3.412 to get COP) against a furnace’s AFUE at your electricity and fuel prices. A heat pump near COP 3 competes with cheap natural gas and beats propane, oil and resistance heat comfortably. The important caveat the mode keeps in view: COP drops as the outdoor temperature falls, so the seasonal average is below the rated number, and in very cold climates a backup fuel changes the picture.
BTU per unit reference
These are the public-domain energy contents the calculator uses. They are the gross heat content per unit before any appliance efficiency — the efficiency is applied separately so you can adjust it. Note the answer to a common search: there are about 138,500 BTU per gallon of #2 heating (fuel) oil.
| Fuel | Unit | BTU per unit | Per MMBtu |
|---|
A handy cross-check: one million BTU is roughly 7 gallons of heating oil, 293 kWh of electricity, 976 cubic feet of natural gas, 11 gallons of propane, 125 lb of seasoned wood or 71 lb of coal — before efficiency.
Electric vs gas for a water heater
The same cost-per-useful-MMBtu method answers the water-heater version of the question. A gas tank burns cheap fuel but vents heat up the flue, lowering its efficiency; an electric resistance tank is near 100% efficient at the tank but pays more per raw BTU; a heat-pump water heater multiplies its electricity by a COP and is usually cheapest to run where it fits. Enter your gas and electricity prices in the compare tab and read electric resistance, heat pump and gas side by side.